North Dakota
W-L: (29- 9) PR = 99.4233Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1010 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 6- 2 1012 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 5- 2 1017 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 5- 2 1018 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 1- 5 1024 A Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 2- 5 1025 A Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 1- 0 1031 H Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 3- 4 1101 H Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 5- 1 1107 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 7- 2 1108 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 4- 1 1114 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 2 1115 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 2- 4 1128 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 5- 3 1129 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 2- 1 1205 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 3 1205 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.5) 3- 2 1206 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 2 1206 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.5) 4- 3 1207 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 1212 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 4- 1 1213 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 3- 1 102 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 2- 0 103 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 6- 1 109 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 3 110 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 116 H Denver (24-11, 99.7) 5- 0 117 H Denver (24-11, 99.7) 2- 3 123 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 7- 4 124 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 3 206 A Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 2- 3 207 A Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 4- 1 213 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 214 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 3 220 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 4 221 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 6- 4 227 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 5- 3 228 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 3- 4 306 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 5- 3 307 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 5- 1 314 H Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1010 H St. Thomas 6- 2 4 2 + 2.29
1012 A St. Thomas 5- 2 3 1 + 2.02
1017 H Minnesota 5- 2 3 2 0.96
1018 H Minnesota 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.04
1024 A Clarkson 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.60
1031 H Minn Duluth 3- 4 -1 1 -1.62
1101 H Minn Duluth 5- 1 4 1 + 3.38
1107 A Omaha 7- 2 5 1 + 3.73
1108 A Omaha 4- 1 3 1 1.73
1114 H Arizona St 5- 2 3 2 0.97
1115 H Arizona St 2- 4 -2 2 -- -4.03
1128 A Bemidji St 5- 3 2 2 0.11
1129 H Bemidji St 2- 1 1 3 -1.62
1205 A St Cloud St 4- 3 1 1 0.25
1205 A Alaska Anch 3- 2 1 4 - -2.59
1206 A St Cloud St 4- 2 2 1 1.25
1206 A Alaska Anch 4- 3 1 4 - -2.59
1207 A Augustana 4- 4 0 1 -0.56
1212 H Omaha 4- 1 3 2 1.00
1213 H Omaha 3- 1 2 2 -0.00
102 H Mercyhurst 2- 0 2 4 - -2.27
103 H Mercyhurst 6- 1 5 4 0.73
109 A Colorado Col 2- 3 -1 0 -1.49
110 A Colorado Col 5- 2 3 0 + 2.51
116 H Denver 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.86
117 H Denver 2- 3 -1 0 -1.14
123 A Arizona St 7- 4 3 1 1.70
124 A Arizona St 5- 3 2 1 0.70
206 A Minn Duluth 2- 3 -1 0 -0.89
207 A Minn Duluth 4- 1 3 0 + 3.11
214 H Miami 4- 3 1 2 -0.61
220 H St Cloud St 4- 4 0 1 -1.48
221 H St Cloud St 6- 4 2 1 0.52
227 A Western Mich 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.68
228 A Western Mich 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.32
306 H Omaha 5- 3 2 2 -0.00
307 H Omaha 5- 1 4 2 2.00
314 H Minn Duluth 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Minnesota 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.04 1024 A Clarkson 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.60 1115 H Arizona St 2- 4 -2 2 -- -4.03 314 H Minn Duluth 1- 5 -4 1 -- -4.62 1205 A Alaska Anch 3- 2 1 4 - -2.59 1206 A Alaska Anch 4- 3 1 4 - -2.59 102 H Mercyhurst 2- 0 2 4 - -2.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 H Denver 5- 0 5 0 ++ 4.86 1010 H St. Thomas 6- 2 4 2 + 2.29 1012 A St. Thomas 5- 2 3 1 + 2.02 1101 H Minn Duluth 5- 1 4 1 + 3.38 1107 A Omaha 7- 2 5 1 + 3.73 110 A Colorado Col 5- 2 3 0 + 2.51 207 A Minn Duluth 4- 1 3 0 + 3.11 227 A Western Mich 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.68 |
North Dakota Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | North Dakota | |
| Army | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Bentley | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 2) | North Dakota | |
| Canisius | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Holy Cross | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Mercyhurst | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Niagara | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | North Dakota | |
| RIT | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Rob Morris | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Sacred Heart | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Notre Dame | North Dakota | North Dakota 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ohio State | North Dakota | North Dakota 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Penn State | North Dakota | North Dakota 3- 3 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Wisconsin | North Dakota | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Augustana | North Dakota | North Dakota 5- 2 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Bemidji St | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Bowl Green | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Ferris St | North Dakota | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 2) | North Dakota | |
| L Superor | North Dakota | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 2) | North Dakota | |
| Mich Tech | North Dakota | North Dakota 5- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Minn St | North Dakota | North Dakota 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| No Mich | North Dakota | North Dakota 2- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| St. Thomas | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Alaska | North Dakota | North Dakota 3- 2 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Alaska Anch | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Lindenwood | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | North Dakota | |
| LIU | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Stonehill | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Brown | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Clarkson | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Colgate | North Dakota | North Dakota 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Cornell | North Dakota | North Dakota 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Dartmouth | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Harvard | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Princeton | North Dakota | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Quinnipiac | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| RPI | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | North Dakota | |
| St Lawrence | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Union | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | North Dakota | |
| Yale | North Dakota | North Dakota 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Boston Col | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | North Dakota | |
| Boston Univ | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Connecticut | North Dakota | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Maine | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| UMass | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Merrimack | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| New Hamp | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Northeastern | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | North Dakota | |
| Providence | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Dakota | |
| UMass Lowell | North Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) | North Dakota | |
| Vermont | North Dakota | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | North Dakota | |
| Arizona St | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Colorado Col | North Dakota | North Dakota 5- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Denver | Denver | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 3) | Denver | |
| Miami | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | ||
| Omaha | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| St Cloud St | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Western Mich | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 57
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 6- 2 -1.82 2.63 -0.36 0.90 4.07
0 A St. Thomas (20-12, 98.1) 5- 2 -1.82 2.63 0.36 0.90 5.38
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 5- 2 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.90 3.48
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 1- 5 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 0.90 -1.13
0 A Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 2- 5 -2.44 2.00 0.36 0.90 -0.93
0 A Clarkson (18-18, 97.5) 1- 0 -2.44 2.00 0.36 0.90 4.26
0 H Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 3- 4 -0.73 3.72 -0.36 0.90 -0.49
0 H Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 5- 1 -0.73 3.72 -0.36 0.90 6.02
0 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 7- 2 -2.12 2.33 0.36 0.90 4.85
0 A Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.12 2.33 0.36 0.90 4.85
0 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 2 -2.14 2.31 -0.36 0.90 3.49
0 H Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 2- 4 -2.14 2.31 -0.36 0.90 -1.13
0 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 5- 3 -2.73 1.72 0.36 0.90 3.74
0 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.2) 2- 1 -2.73 1.72 -0.36 0.90 2.43
0 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 3 -1.59 2.86 0.36 0.90 5.79
0 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.5) 3- 2 -4.44 1.00 0.36 0.90 2.45
0 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 2 -1.59 2.86 0.36 0.90 5.79
0 A Alaska Anch ( 5-23, 95.5) 4- 3 -4.44 1.00 0.36 0.90 2.45
0 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 -1.40 3.05 0.36 0.90 ********
0 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 4- 1 -2.12 2.33 -0.36 0.90 3.54
0 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 3- 1 -2.12 2.33 -0.36 0.90 3.54
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 2- 0 -4.38 1.00 -0.36 0.90 1.14
0 H Mercyhurst ( 6-27, 95.5) 6- 1 -4.38 1.00 -0.36 0.90 1.14
0 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 2- 3 -1.33 3.12 0.36 0.90 -0.43
0 A Colorado Col (14-17, 98.6) 5- 2 -1.33 3.12 0.36 0.90 6.26
0 H Denver (24-11, 99.7) 5- 0 -0.25 4.20 -0.36 0.90 6.89
0 H Denver (24-11, 99.7) 2- 3 -0.25 4.20 -0.36 0.90 -0.28
0 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 7- 4 -2.14 2.31 0.36 0.90 4.80
0 A Arizona St (15-22, 97.8) 5- 3 -2.14 2.31 0.36 0.90 4.80
0 A Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 2- 3 -0.73 3.72 0.36 0.90 -0.17
0 A Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 4- 1 -0.73 3.72 0.36 0.90 7.33
0 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 1- 0 -1.73 2.72 -0.36 0.90 4.24
0 H Miami (18-16, 98.2) 4- 3 -1.73 2.72 -0.36 0.90 4.24
0 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 4- 4 -1.59 2.86 -0.36 0.90 ********
0 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.3) 6- 4 -1.59 2.86 -0.36 0.90 4.48
0 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 5- 3 -0.16 4.29 0.36 0.90 8.37
0 A Western Mich (26-10, 99.7) 3- 4 -0.16 4.29 0.36 0.90 -0.09
0 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 5- 3 -2.12 2.33 -0.36 0.90 3.54
0 H Omaha (12-24, 97.8) 5- 1 -2.12 2.33 -0.36 0.90 3.54
0 H Minn Duluth (21-13, 99.2) 1- 5 -0.73 3.72 -0.36 0.90 -0.49
------
********
|
winning pts = 126.8924 losing points = -5.1439
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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